Date: 19th January 2016 at 9:51am
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Without counting the chickens and getting ahead of ourselves ….. it’s a safe bet that Argyle will be promoted this season.

The Greens have been top of League Two for 15 games this season with 55 points from 27 games, averaging two points per game. If that form continues for the remaining 19 games Derek Adams’ team will finish the season on 93 points and promoted!

The average amount of points needed to win the League Two title over the last 10 years is 89, with the lowest at 83 and the highest an incredible 97 reached by MK Dons in 2007-2008. So again it’s safe to say Argyle are on course for the title if their current form continues.

‘Let’s just get promoted’ is the mantra from many Argyle fans, so what about third place in League Two? Over the last decade the least amount of points needed for automatic promotion is 78 with a high of 88 (again in season 2007-2008) with an average of 82 points. So in effect Argyle need another 27 points from 19 games, which would itself be a big loss of form, to grab third place and reach the average pointage required for the last automatic promotion place.

If disaster hits us and we are scrambling for the last play-off place how many points would we need? The 10 year history of League Two says that 66 points is the lowest amount required for seventh place and a high of 78 (Wycombe in freak season 2007-2008) at an average of 71 points. So just another 16 points needed to settle for an average of 71 points and seventh place.

Argyle have already reached one target this season – avoiding relegation! A glance at the history of League Two over the last 10 years shows that the highest amount of points needed to avoid relegation was 52 back in season 2005-2006.

Of course over the last 10 years Argyle fans have grown accustomed to misery and heartbreak and we can’t quite believe that we are watching a potential championship winning team and are just waiting for it to all fall apart, but this team seem to be determined and single minded, (not to mention full of quality), and are on course for 93 points which over the last ten seasons has been enough to win the title on eight occasions and automatic promotion in every season in the last decade.